Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle DEAD? Grayscale's Bullish New Phase!

Grayscale says Bitcoin's 4-year cycle is OVER!🚨 📉 Discover the new market phase & why experts are bullish. 🐂💰

Grayscale Research assesses that Bitcoin is no longer moving according to the four-year cycle pattern that many market participants believe. 

According to them, the current structure of the crypto market has changed and opens up the possibility of Bitcoin printing a new high price in 2026.

This view comes amid pressure on the price of Bitcoin which briefly fell more than 30% from its peak in October, a correction that often triggers fears of a long-term bearish cycle.

What Is Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle Theory?

The four-year cycle theory departs from the historical pattern of Bitcoin rising sharply after a halving, then experiencing a major correction before the next cycle begins.

In this theory, a sharp decline is considered a signal of the end of the bull market.

However, Grayscale considers that the pattern is no longer fully relevant to current conditions. The price correction, in their opinion, is precisely the normal part of a larger upward phase.

For comparison, Grayscale notes that declines of 25% or more often occur even in the midst of a bull market, and do not always signal a change in the long-term trend.

Why Has The Bitcoin Cycle Changed?

Grayscale explained that the composition of Bitcoin market participants is now very different from previous cycles.

If in the past, price movements were mostly driven by retail investors, now institutions play a much larger role.

Institutional funds now flow through structured financial products and corporate balance sheets, rather than just Daily spot transactions.

This makes Bitcoin's price movement more stable, less parabolic, and less likely to form a longer upward phase.

In addition, the macro environment is still considered supportive. Potential interest rate cuts, more digital asset-friendly policies, and regulatory developments in the United States are additional factors bolstering the narrative.

Price correction is not the end, but part of the process

Grayscale stressed that the fall in the price of Bitcoin is not a sign of weakening fundamentals.

On-chain activity, adoption growth, and the use of digital assets in the financial sector continue to grow.

This view is also in line with a number of analysts who see a mismatch between prices and fundamental conditions.

According to them, the current price pressure is due more to short-term sentiment and asset rotation, rather than a deterioration in the quality of the network.

In other words, the market is going through a phase of adjustment, not collapse.

Finally Bitcoin is entering a new phase that is no longer completely tied to the quadrennial cycle.

The current price correction is seen as a natural process in a longer uptrend, rather than the beginning of a prolonged bear market.

If a more mature market structure and macro support continues, Bitcoin has the potential to establish a new, more stable growth pattern towards 2026.

For market participants, the key is not frantically reading short-term declines, but understanding the major changes in the way Bitcoin moves.

FAQ:

1. What is the 4-year cycle of Bitcoin?

The 4-year cycle is a theory that says the price of Bitcoin tends to rise sharply and then fall sharply following a halving schedule.

2. Why does Grayscale judge this cycle to be irrelevant?

Because the market structure is changing, with the predominance of institutional funds and the absence of extreme parabolic rallies like previous cycles.

3. Does a 30% correction mean the bullish trend is over?

Not always. Grayscale calls large corrections precisely often occur ijn the middle of a bullish market.

4. What factors favor Bitcoin in 2026?

Potential for reduced interest rates, regulatory support, and increased institutional adoption.

5. Does Bitcoin have the potential to print a new ATH?

According to Grayscale and a number of analysts, the chances of scoring a new all-time high in 2026 are still open if macro conditions remain favorable.

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